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to Section One | to Arts & Entertainment
posted Friday, January 5, 2018 - Volume 46 Issue 01
Golden Globes 2018 predictions:
Harris and Martin among presenters for this weekend's glitzy awards show
Arts & Entertainment
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Golden Globes 2018 predictions:
Harris and Martin among presenters for this weekend's glitzy awards show

by Albert Rodriguez - SGN A&E Writer

GOLDEN GLOBES 2018
BEVERLY HILTON
NBC/KING-5 TV 5pm live
& 8pm re-broadcast
Sunday, January 7


Just seven days into the New Year and it's time to officially kick off the awards season with this weekend's Golden Globes. Honoring the past year's best work in film and television, the Globes ceremony is the first of several award shows being televised and/or streamed in the coming weeks; the Screen Actors Guild (SAG), Critics' Choice, Grammys, Directors Guild of America, Producer's Guild of America, NAACP Image, People's Choice, Independent Spirit and, of course, the Academy Awards are soon to follow.

Neil Patrick Harris and Ricky Martin are two LGBT performers who'll serve as presenters at Sunday evening's gala; Harris can be seen in the comedic film Downsizing, currently in theaters, and will soon appear in the second season of A Series of Unfortunate Events on Netflix, meanwhile Martin will play Antonio D'Amico in Versace: American Crime Story, the second installment of the anthology crime series that is co-produced by Ryan Murphy and Brad Falchuk (Glee). Speaking of Glee, former cast member Darren Criss, also appearing in Versace: American Crime Story, is booked as a presenter, as well. Sarah Jessica Parker, Kelly Clarkson, Shirley MacLaine, Halle Berry, Greta Gerwig, Isabelle Huppert, Kerry Washington, Amy Poehler, Gal Gadot, Sharon Stone, JK Simmons, Kit Harrington, Emilia Clarke and many others will also be handing out hardware during the three-hour special event. Late night talk show host and Saturday Night Live alum Seth Meyers is the ceremony's emcee.

The Golden Globes will likely have an effect on the Oscar nominations, as Academy voters have through January 12 to complete and submit their ballots, giving them time to factor in the Globes results before making their selections. But just because someone is nominated for, or wins, a Globe doesn't guarantee them an Oscar nod; look no further than Aaron Taylor-Johnson, last year's Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture winner, who didn't even make the cut for the Academy Awards. Already, I see two categories where the Golden Globes and Oscars will differ; the former nominated five men for Best Director, despite three women - Greta Gerwig, Patty Jenkins, Kathryn Bigelow - helming three critically acclaimed films last year, but the latter will probably include Gerwig in its final five. And, James Ivory's beautiful screenplay for the Gay romance drama Call Me By Your Name was omitted from the Globes list, but should pop up for the Academy Awards.

In total, twenty-five trophies, in the shape of a golden sphere, will be given out by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA), an organization of nearly 100 international journalists based in Los Angeles, on Sunday, January 7 - fourteen for film, eleven for television. The ceremonies begin at 5pm at the Beverly Hilton. NBC and KING-5 TV will present the live broadcast beginning at 5pm PST, and the re-broadcast will be shown at 8pm PST. Oprah Winfrey will receive the Cecil B. DeMille Award for her long career spanning film and television.

Here are my predictions for some of the night's key races.

FILM
Best Motion Picture - Drama nominees: Call Me By Your Name, Dunkirk, The Post, The Shape of Water, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Likely winner: The Shape of Water
The HFPA's composition of foreign film critics often reveals itself in its picks, in this case The Shape of Water is written and directed by a Mexican, Guillermo del Toro, and features both American and British actors, such as Sally Hawkins, Octavia Spencer and Richard Jenkins. The only potential spoiler is Dunkirk, a British production by the universally respected filmmaker Christopher Nolan.

Best Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy nominees: The Disaster Artist, Get Out, The Greatest Showman, I, Tonya, Lady Bird

Likely winner: Lady Bird
For the record, the only reason why The Greatest Showman, which has drawn mixed reviews at best (even called 'magnificently idiotic' on the Rotten Tomatoes website), is included here is because the HFPA needs to justify the musical portion of this category. The Disaster Artist and Get Out are both great, though not rewarding the slightly better Lady Bird would be shameful.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Drama nominees: Jessica Chastain (Molly's Game), Sally Hawkins (The Shape of Water), Frances McDormand (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri), Meryl Streep (The Post), Michelle Williams (All the Money in the World)

Likely winner: Sally Hawkins
This isn't even a contest. Hawkins is a lock for the Globe and Oscar.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture - Drama nominees: Timothée Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name), Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread), Tom Hanks (The Post), Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour), Denzel Washington (Roman J. Israel, Esq.)

Likely winner: Gary Oldman
First of all, I find it odd that Washington is in this category because Roman J. Israel, Esq. is a comedy, not a drama. Second, with no clear Best Actor frontrunner going into the Oscars, whoever wins this award can start building some momentum. An international voting body, many of them European, will be very keen to award the legendary Oldman, a longtime Brit who plays one of the most historical political figures of all-time, Sir Winston Churchill. If he doesn't win, it'll go to Day-Lewis. While deserving, Chalamet is overshadowed by four highly-regarded screen veterans.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy nominees: Judi Dench (Victoria & Abdul), Helen Mirren (The Leisure Seeker), Margot Robbie (I, Tonya), Saoirse Ronan (Lady Bird), Emma Stone (Battle of the Sexes)

Likely winner: Margot Robbie
With another opportunity to emphasize its international reach, the HFPA will hand this over to Robbie, an Australian who plays real life ice skater Tonya Harding. My pick would be Ronan, or Stone as Billie Jean King.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture - Musical or Comedy nominees: Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes), Ansel Elgort (Baby Driver), James Franco (The Disaster Artist), Hugh Jackman (The Greatest Showman), Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out)

Likely winner: James Franco or Daniel Kaluuya
This is too close to call, and I'm betting Franco and Kaluuya are both headed to the Oscars. Each is worthy and I'm torn between the two; can we just flip a coin?

Best Actress in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture nominees: Hong Chau (Downsizing), Allison Janney (I, Tonya), Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird), Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water), Mary J. Blige (Mudbound)

Likely winner: Laurie Metcalf
Three minorites in this category, including the rare occurrence of an Asian woman, makes this race very exciting. But this is Metcalf's to lose, and unless the Globes get wonky - and they have before - she'll take one big step towards writing her Academy Awards acceptance speech.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role in any Motion Picture nominees: Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project), Armie Hammer (Call Me By Your Name), Richard Jenkins (The Shape of Water), Christopher Plummer (All the Money in the World), Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri)

Likely winner: Willem Dafoe
With the exception of Plummer, who I think will be replaced by Woody Harrelson or Steve Carrell, this will be the lineup for the Academy Awards. Dafoe is one of those actors who's owed big time and 2018 is his year, finally - finally!

Best Screenplay - Motion Picture nominees: The Shape of Water, Ladybird, The Post, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, Molly's Game

Likely winner: The Shape of Water
I'd love to see Greta Gerwig walk away with this for Ladybird, but she's going up against a giant.

Best Motion Picture - Foreign Language nominees: A Fantastic Woman, First They Killed My Father, In the Fade, Loveless, The Square

Likely winner: The Square
The Globes have often chosen to honor big stars over quality work and such could happen again with a win for First They Killed My Father, directed by Hollywood A-lister Angelina Jolie. But the Cambodian drama wasn't even shortlisted for the Oscars. If they want good street cred, then they'll pick The Square.

TELEVISION
Best Television Series - Drama nominees: Game of Thrones, The Handmaid's Tale, Stranger Things, This Is Us, The Crown

Likely winner: The Crown
Although The Handmaid's Tale out-performs everything in this impressive lineup, British royalty always rules.

Best Television Series - Musical or Comedy nominees: Black-ish, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, Master of None, SMILF, Will & Grace

Likely winner: Will & Grace
The HFPA usually goes with a new series in this category, but though it isn't new the return of the much-beloved LGBT fave Will & Grace is perhaps too irresistible to celebrate.

Best Actress in a Limited Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television nominees: Nicole Kidman (Big Little Lies), Jessica Lange (Feud: Bette and Joan), Susan Sarandon (Feud: Bette and Joan), Reese Witherspoon (Big Little Lies), Jessica Biel (The Sinner)

Likely winner: Nicole Kidman
The ridiculous inclusion of Biel over Elisabeth Moss for Top of the Lake: China Girl and Carrie Coon for Fargo shows just how scatterbrained the HFPA can be. As much as I'd like Lange to get it, Kidman was a force to be reckoned with in Big Little Lies.

Best Actor in a Limited Series or a Motion Picture Made for Television nominees: Robert De Niro (The Wizard of Lies), Jude Law (The Young Pope), Kyle MacLachlan (Twin Peaks), Ewan McGregor (Fargo), Geoffrey Rush (Genius)

Likely winner: Jude Law
McGregor should get it, but Law has more star power.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television nominees: Laura Dern (Big Little Lies), Ann Dowd (The Handmaid's Tale), Chrissy Metz (This Is Us), Michelle Pfeiffer (The Wizard of Lies), Shailene Woodley (Big Little Lies)

Likely winner: Laura Dern
At the Emmys last fall, Dern and Dowd were separated into the Limited Series and Drama Series fields, so both were able to scoop up awards. But at the Globes, there's only one Best Supporting Actress category for TV, so they'll go head to head. Because Dern is a Hollywood biggie (she's starring in Star Wars right now), I say she has the edge.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role in a Series, Limited Series or Motion Picture Made for Television nominees: David Harbour (Stranger Things), Alfred Molina (Feud: Bette and Joan), Christian Slater (Mr. Robot), Alexander Skarsgård (Big Little Lies), David Thewlis (Fargo)

Likely winner: Alexander Skarsgård
Skarsgård won the Emmy and will likely prevail here, but watch out for Thewlis who was devilishly good in Fargo.

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